News and Events

January 2007

Forecasts Session


Forecasts

Last Updated:
10 November 2006

Next Due:
18 December2006


Feedback from EO in 2007 November Session

   

Nigeria Economic Forecast

Economic Associates (EA) now provides Current Data Estimates and Five-year Forecasts on Nigerian economic variables on a going basis. Business

The data and forecasts cover 184 variables in the following areas:

1.       Global risks and opportunities

a.        Global Cycles: World output, trade and commodity prices.

b.  Currency risks: The main currencies of relevance to the Nigeria’s external trade and capital flows: US Dollar, Euro and Pounds Sterling

c.      Capital flows: Private investment flows, especially net foreign private capital inflows: foreign direct investment, portfolio investment and other private capital flows

d. Emerging Markets: Comparative information on other emerging economies for assessing the relative risks and opportunities in Nigeria.

2.       Domestic Macroeconomic Climate

a.        Production: output growth in agriculture, oil, manufacturing, utilities and services

b.       Employment: employment growth in agriculture, oil, manufacturing, utilities and services

c.        Spending: consumer, investor, and government spending

d.       Fiscal data: budget figures for the federation, federal government and state governments

e.        Trade: imports, exports, and capital flows

 

3.       Financial Assets and Prices

a.        Financial Prices: Inflation, rediscount rates, treasury-bill rates, inter-bank rates, bank rates, exchange rates

b.       Financial Assets: cash, deposits, loans, bonds, and equity

4.       Sector Production, Profits, Investment and Employment

a.        Agriculture: Production of 30 main crops, fishery, livestock and forestry in tonnes.

b.        Industry: Production indices 13 manufacturing sub-sectors, six key oil and non-oil minerals, and the utilities.

c.         Services: Value added in 16 service sub-sectors

The current data estimates and forecasts are generated from our new Economic Model for Nigeria that captures the global, national, and industry linkages that drive the Nigerian economy. This makes our estimates and forecasts the most rigorous available for Nigeria.  more...

   
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